Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances Week 13: Tracking the Cowboys Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Jeremy Botter
Cowboys Playoff Chances

Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ“Š The Cowboys playoff chances are 99.5%, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • πŸ“ˆ Dallas currently holds the No. 5 seed in the NFC playoff picture.
  • ⭐️ The Cowboys are +700 to win the NFC East, trailing only the Eagles at -1100.

The Cowboys got another blowout win over the Commanders, 45-10 on Thanksgiving, improving their playoff chances to 99.5%. How does the rest of the Cowboys' playoff picture look heading into Week 13? I'll be tracking the Dallas Cowboys playoff chances weekly, so be sure to bookmark this page to stay up to date with the latest news impacting the Cowboys' playoff odds.

What Are the Cowboys Playoff Chances?

The Cowboys playoff chances are 99.5%, according to DraftKings Sportsbook Texas. They are among the favorites to make the playoffs in the NFC, only behind the Eagles and 49ers after Week 12. 

Here are more of their odds and data points as they relate to the Cowboys' playoff picture:

⭐ Cowboys Playoff Chances99.5% Chance
❌ Cowboys Miss Playoffs0.5% Chance
πŸ† Cowboys Win Super Bowl10% Chance
πŸ‘‘ Cowboys Win NFC20.8% Chance
πŸ”₯ Cowboys Win NFC East12.5% Chance
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)9.4 FPI (2nd)
πŸ—½ New York Times Postseason Simulator99%
βœ… Data Last Verified by ExpertNovember 29, 2023

We calculated the Dallas Cowboys playoff chances using the implied probability of the team’s odds to make the postseason. Converting the Cowboys’ current odds of -20000 to make the playoffs provided the 99.5% chance highlighted above.

The Cowboys have a 10% chance to win the 2023-24 Super Bowl and a 12.5% chance of winning the NFC. Although their Super Bowl chances saw a slight increase compared to last week, their chances to win the NFC and NFC East took a hit with the Eagles picking up their 10th win of the season. Because of Philadelphia's stranglehold on the division, Dallas is more or less destined for a Wild Card spot.

Dallas Cowboys Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Each week, we will update the Cowboys playoff chances after the results of the game. This will allow us to see how their postseason chances are fluctuating as the season progresses.

WeekCowboys' Playoff Chances
Week 1             69.7%
Week 280.94%
Week 390.91%
Week 488.9%
Week 582.6%
Week 677.8%
Week 784.6%
Week 888.2%
Week 995.2%
Week 1095.2%
Week 1197.6%
Week 1297.6%
Week 1399.5%

The Cowboys are currently -20000 to make the playoffs during the 2023 season which gives them an implied playoff probability of 99.5%. Their odds of making the postseason have improved a bit over the last few weeks with the Cowboys now on a three-game winning streak. Holding a 1.5-2 game lead over the other two current Wild Card teams, the Seahawks and Vikings, Dallas has nearly locked up a playoff spot.

Do the Cowboys Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes. The Cowboys have a fantastic chance of making the playoffs during the 2023 NFL season as they have started the year with a 8-3 record. On most sportsbooks, including DraftKings and FanDuel, the Cowboys have the third-best odds to win the NFC (+380 on DraftKings), only behind the Eagles and 49ers Those odds have fluctuated throughout the season, but it's clear that the Cowboys are one of the top teams in the NFC.

Are the Cowboys Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Cowboys are not out of the playoffs as they sit with an 8-3 record after 11 games. Sportsbooks do appear to be confident that the Cowboys will make it to the playoffs once again and these odds are the highest they've been since early in the year. The Cowboys' odds to reach the postseason sit at -20000 on DraftKings. Given their record, they aren't likely to be out of the playoff hunt at all this season.

Cowboys Postseason Picture: Key Updates November 2023

Here are the most important and relevant bits of information regarding the Dallas Cowboys' playoff chances:

  • πŸ“… November 19: Despite Dallas' second-straight blowout victory, the Cowboys' division odds and Super Bowl odds drop due to the Eagles picking up a key victory on the road at Kansas City. 
  • πŸ“… November 18: The Cowboys have placed DL Junior Fehoko (knee) on the injured reserve list.
  • πŸ“… November 12: Dallas beats up on an undermanned Giants team and posts 7 touchdowns, winning 49-17.
  • πŸ“… October 29: The Cowboys drop a tough divisional matchup against the Eagles, dropping to 5-3 and giving Philly a commanding NFC East lead.
  • πŸ“… October 16: The Cowboys have placed LB Leighton Vander Esch (neck) and CB C.J. Goodwin (pectoral) on the injured reserve list
  • πŸ“… October 8: Dallas gets crushed by the San Francisco 49ers, 42-10. This game was largely viewed as a measuring stick for the Cowboys who proceeded to allow over 400 yards of offense to San Fran while putting up under 200 total yards themselves.
  • πŸ“… September 24: The Cowboys have placed CB Trevon Diggs (torn ACL) on the injured reserve list

Be sure to bookmark this page and check back for all of the latest news and developments regarding the Dallas Cowboys and their chances of making the playoffs again in 2023.

Key Contributors Towards Cowboys Playoff Chances

If the Dallas Cowboys want to make it back to the postseason, they are going to do so on the defensive side of the ball. And so far, so good. The Cowboys have a very talented unit, especially with Micah Parsons leading the charge. He is among the favorites (+1600 on DraftKings) to win the Defensive Player of the Year award after another big performance against the Commanders.

The Cowboys have lost two key defenders (Trevon Diggs, Leighton Vander Esch) and that could have an impact on the defense moving forward, but it hasn't impacted them too much to date. The Cowboys don't believe that Vander Esch (neck) will return this year, but they've managed to get solid play from Damone Clark and Markquese Bell to date.

Another thing to watch out for this season is Dak Prescott's play. After leading the NFL in interceptions in 2022, Prescott has thrown just six interceptions in 11 games this year. He has a passer rating of 107.4, the highest of his career. He is among the top passers in the NFL and his MVP odds have shot up all the way to +1000.

The Cowboys have not had a lot of success running the ball this season. Tony Pollard is the team's lead back, but he is averaging a career-low 4.2 yards per carry. The Cowboys just aren't opening any holes in the run game and his longest run has been only 31 yards. The good news is that Pollard has played better over the last few weeks and is starting to return to form. If the Cowboys can improve their rushing attack, they'll be tough to beat in the postseason.

Another player to monitor for the Cowboys is CeeDee Lamb, who is in the middle of a career year. Through 11 games, Lamb has already totaled 1,120 yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging over 10 yards per target and has been one of the NFL's best receivers. The Cowboys are also getting solid play out of Jake Ferguson, their starting tight end. He's averaging nearly 40 receiving yards per game and has already scored four touchdowns on the season. He has been a big reason why the offense has improved so much over the last two months.

Where Can I Bet on the Cowboys to Make the Playoffs?

You can bet on the Cowboys to make the playoffs at most major sportsbooks in the United States. Sports betting in Texas isn't legal, but if you travel to a state where it is legal, you can bet on the Dallas Cowboys on any of the top sportsbook apps, including BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel, DraftKings, etc. 

Unfortunately for sports fans, Texas sports betting won't be here until at least 2025 when the state legislature meets next. There was positive momentum in 2023 but it ultimately fell short. Once Texas sportsbook apps are here, however, Cowboys fans will have a full menu of betting options available in the palm of their hand.

Dallas Cowboys Playoff Picture and Predictions

The Dallas Cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFL and it would be a major upset if they didn't make the playoffs. But their losses against the 49ers and Eagles have made it difficult to project them to do much in the postseason.

The Cowboys sit at 8-3 through the first 11 games of the season, but they are still projected to be a playoff team in 2023. Their schedule gets a lot harder over the next few weeks, but their early season wins make them a shoo-in to be in the postseason.

Cowboys Playoff Chances FAQs


Marcus Mosher covers the NFL, NFL Draft and NFL news for BetTexas.com. The host of the Locked On Cowboys podcast, Marcus also has been the managing editor of The Raiders Wire and contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly, FanSided and FanRag Sports.

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