How Many Interceptions Will Dak Prescott Throw in 2023?

How Many Interceptions Will Dak Prescott Throw in 2023?
Fact Checked by Michael Peters

Few NFL quarterbacks have generated the amount of buzz each fall Dallas Cowboys’ starter Dak Prescott has, thanks to his generational talents under center.

Prescott enters his eighth year with the Cowboys off an injury-plagued season that saw him start 12 games (out of 17), with year-over-year decreases in completion percentage (66.2%, from 68.8%), QBR (57.9 from 60.5), passing yards per game (238.3 from 278.1) and passing touchdowns per game (1.92 from 2.3).

The former Mississippi State Bulldog is looking to make it through an entire regular season unscathed for the first time since 2019, when he threw for a career-high 4,902 yards.

Following Dak Prescott’s recent comments that he will not throw 10 interceptions this season, after 15 in 2022, compiled hypothetical odds around his prediction.

Unfortunately, Cowboys fans won’t be able to bet on their team — or any other — this season. There is no legal Texas sports betting, and the topic won’t come up again until 2025 in the state legislature.

Dak Prescott Interception Odds

Total Interceptions Odds Percentage Chance
Over 9.5-15060%
Under 9.5+12544.4%

National operators feel pretty good about Dallas. The Cowboys Super Bowl odds are +1600, tied with the New York Jets for sixth.

Prescott Hopes For Return to Career Norms

Through his first seven seasons with the Cowboys, Prescott has averaged 9.3 interceptions per year, compared with 23.7 passing touchdowns.

Prescott hasn’t finished below that career average over the course of a full season since 2018, though, as he’s battled a litany of injuries, missing 17 games between 2020 and 2022.

That’s why we’re giving Prescott -150 odds of throwing more than 9.5 interceptions this season, as he’s shown himself to be more turnover prone since that 2019 renaissance.

Prescott will likely have a chance to hit the ground running this season, however, as the Cowboys open the year with games against teams that went a combined 70-65-1 (.515) between Weeks 1 and 8.

That stretch includes three straight contests against non-playoff teams — in the Jets, Arizona and New England — which went 19-31 in 2022.

If Prescott can get off to a quick start with the Cowboys, then there’s a solid chance he finds his form and plays more like the quarterback that made two Pro Bowl appearances in three years between 2016 and 2018.

There is no BetMGM Texas Sportsbook, but nationally the operator lists Prescott as +1600 to win NFL most valuable player honors.

Any hiccups along that opening eight-game stretch could prove costly for Prescott and the Cowboys, however, as Dallas’ room for error is slim in an NFC East that includes reigning NFC champion Philadelphia and an upstart N.Y. Giants club looking to turn the corner in 2023.



Christopher Boan is a writer with, covering state issues. He has covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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