Can The 3-3 Houston Texans Make It To The Postseason?

Can The 3-3 Houston Texans Make It To The Postseason?
Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

In many ways, the 2023 NFL season is already a successful one for the Houston Texans. Thanks to last Sunday’s 20-13 win over the New Orleans Saints, they stand at 3-3 through the first six weeks. That’s quite an improvement from the Texans’ recent seasons. They’ve already matched last season’s win total, and their next win will match their total from both 2020 and 2021.

Houston sits just a game back of AFC South leader Jacksonville in the division standings, and the Texans already have beaten the Jaguars, on the road no less, once this season. However, their fans probably shouldn’t be banking on the Texans playoff chances. At least not yet.

Season Results of 3-3 NFL Teams

Below you'll find some useful information regarding how 3-3 teams fare at the end of the season. This would be useful to those participating in Texas sportsbook apps if they were legal.

Using ChampsorChumps.us, BetTexas.com looked at how teams ended up the rest of the NFL season after starting with a 3-3 record since the 2012-13 NFL season. There have been 83 teams that have started 3-3 in the last 10 seasons. 

Result# of TeamsPercentage
Making the Playoffs 24 28.9%
Winning Wild Card Round 10 12%
Winning Divisional Round 5 6%
Winning Conference Championship 1 1.2%
Winning Super Bowl 0 0%

The 24 teams making the playoffs include six – 25% of them – doing so just last season. In fact, both the Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers advanced to their conference’s championship game before falling just short of reaching the Super Bowl. The Texans Super Bowl odds are not strong after a .500 start to the season.

Are The Texans Ahead Of Schedule?

If there’s an argument for the Texans making the playoffs for the first time since 2019, it starts with their remaining schedule. According to Tankathon.com, Houston is tied with the Detroit Lions for the second-easiest schedule based on their opponents’ combined .391 winning percentage the rest of the way. After their bye this week, the Texans next play at the winless Carolina Panthers on Oct. 29.

Besides a rematch against the Jags in Houston on Nov. 26, the Texans’ toughest remaining games include a Nov. 5 home game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a Nov. 12 trip to Cincinnati, a Dec. 10 visit to the New York Jets, and a Christmas Eve home matchup against the Cleveland Browns.

Although there isn't a DraftKings sportsbook in Texas, nationally, they are giving the Texans an outside chance of reaching the postseason. Their odds to advance are +140, which equals an implied chance of 41.7%. The odds for them to stay home in January are -175.

Sports betting is not legal yet in Texas, but BetTexas.com will provide you with the latest news on the effort to allow sportsbook apps to operate in the Lone Star State, and when that happens, we will have the best Texas sportsbook promo codes for you to use.

quote

Author

Steve is an accomplished, award-winning reporter with more than 20 years of experience covering gaming, sports, politics and business. He has written for the Associated Press, Reuters, The Louisville Courier Journal, The Center Square and numerous other publications. Based in Louisville, Ky., Steve has covered the expansion of sports betting in the U.S. and other gaming matters.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: